Wednesday, 9 April 2025

NoW UPDATE: OF GOLDEN MEDALLIONS

 
THE AMERICAN PRESIDENT, DONALD TRUMP, has mused since he regained the presidency that he wants to be the “peace president” and would deserve the Nobel Peace Prize for his efforts. Initially, he seemed on his way to Oslo to capture the golden medallion for 2025. For example, his overtures to Moscow to resolve the bloody, three-year conflict in Ukraine got off to a good start when he opened direct talks with Russia in meetings held in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. Trump’s golfing-buddy, billionaire Steve Witkoff, was made a special envoy and tasked with “making a deal” to end the fighting. Witkoff, while having no experience as a diplomat, has nevertheless ‘moved the needle’ in discussions with the Russians to include examining proposals for a  thirty-day ceasefire, a limiting of strikes on Ukrainian and Russian energy sectors, as well as opening Black Sea shipping for Russian grain and fertilizer shipments.*
 
AS IT STANDS TODAY, however, this proposal seems to be circling the drain. There are several reasons why Trump’s initiatives to end the Ukraine conflict are not gaining more traction with the Russians.
👉First, Russia is in no hurry; it's winning the war in Ukraine that it began in 2022 and seems poised to move to the Dnieper River this spring. 
👉Secondly, there are unresolved questions: How will any ceasefire be monitored along the twelve-hundred-mile line of contact? Who will enforce compliance with ceasefire protocols? What guarantees could be given to ensure Ukraine does not rearm during this period with fresh weapon supplies from the U.S. [Before he left office, Joe Biden fast-tracked additional arms shipments to Ukraine and these are still ‘in the pipeline’. Ed.] and more promised by EU member states who have, for the moment, gone off their collective nutt and are in 'free-fall’ over Trump’s apparent volte face on his support for Ukraine and for NATO in general. 
Note: to date, the U.S. has not announced any further arms or financial support to Ukraine. 
👉Thirdly, what seems clear is that the U.S. no longer beats the drum to which the NATO countries march. The Europeans are waking up to the reality in which the United States will play a significantly reduced role on their continent. After eighty years, they are being forced to learn how to stand on their own two feet, militarily-speaking, without the U.S. acting as ‘big daddy’ in NATO. (More on this in a later post.) It's obvious that the Europeans—notably France, Germany, Great Britain, and the Baltic states—are paddling against U.S. efforts to move into peace talks with Russia, and this is seen in their desperate promises of billions of euros to keep the war going.  
 
Burl Ives "Big Daddy" Cat on a Hot tin Roof
IN THE LONG RUN, it’s probably a good thing for the U.S. to adopt smaller roles in NATO and European affairs. But for now, the prospect of a departing U.S. is dangerously destabilizing, as EU political elites panic over being tossed out by angry voters when the consequences for their foolish, hard-stick policies towards Russia come home to roost. The European Union just passed its seventeenth sanctions package against Russia! GMAFB! The last sixteenth did next to nada and mostly backfired. For example, sanctions on Russian natural gas disrupted the flow of this reasonably-priced energy source, forcing European businesses to purchase more expensive LNG (Liquified Natural Gas) elsewhere. German manufacturing and pharmaceutical industries have been decimated because their products are no longer competitive on world markets. And this was before Trump's new tariff regime that make European exports to the U.S. prohibitively expensive. 
 
👉POINT IS, RUSSIA sees how the EU is bucking Trump’s initiatives for peace in Ukraine by promising troves of new weapons paid from Europe’s dwindling coffers. So, the Russians have no incentive to accept a temporary truce that doesn’t address its core demands, and where they expect continuing arms shipments from the Europeans into Ukraine. Russia’s non-negotiable for any peace treaty is that it must be codified within the framework of a broader European security architecture that is acceptable for both EU and Russian governments. A simple armistice or truce won’t do that. As a case in point, recall: There has been an armistice between North and South Korea since 1953. It's not a peace treaty. Technically, the two are still in a state of war with each other. One can argue this unresolved conflict, with a DMZ (“Demilitarized Zone”) splitting the peninsula in half, has worked to the detriment of Koreans on both sides of the line. 
Russia does not want a frozen conflict like Korea. It wants a resolution that takes into consideration its legitimate security concerns around Ukraine becoming a member of NATO, which is unacceptable to Moscow. Other non-negotiable demands are for a neutral Ukraine along the lines of the Austrian model with a small standing army, and for minority rights protection inside whatever remains of Ukraine. Finally, “denazification” of the country must occur, banning neo-Nazi ideologies and organizations (like the infamous "Azov Battalion".  
NOTE: What Moscow fails to win diplomatically, it will win on the battlefield.
WHICH IS A LONG WAY ROUND to say that negotiating a resolution to the Ukraine conflict is complicated. And the longer Russia’s core demands are ignored, the longer the conflict continues, with more and more Ukrainian territory lost to Russia. 
 
SO, KUDOS TO PRESIDENT TRUMP for opening talks with Russia. Will his team wise-up and deal with Russia properly or will they drag their feet? It remains to be seen if the Americans are capable of negotiating in good faith anymore, and that’s a sorry state of affairs it must be said. Nevertheless, Trump deserves half a Nobel for his efforts. Why half? Let's not forget Gaza. While Trump’s efforts in negotiating a 30-day ceasefire in the Gaza-Israel war was surprising and admirable, he nevertheless continues to supply Israel with all the weaponry it asks for. And now that the ceasefire has been broken with last week’s renewed bombing and blockading of Gaza by the Israelis, the genocide and ethnic cleansing regime Trump temporarily stopped in January is now squarely on his shoulders and is his responsibility. The same goes for the Russia-Ukraine war—both are now officially Trump's wars. He can’t blame Biden. From here on out, Trump is responsible for the carnage in Gaza and Ukraine. Instead of stopping arms shipments to Netanyahu, he sends the Israelis everything they want. He could stop both conflicts with a couple of phone calls. And then there are the Houthis!
The longer Trump supports these wars, the more gold is shaved from his Nobel medal. He’d better hurry before it disappears altogether!😩
 
Cheers, Jake._________________________________
  

* While the Russians agreed to a partial ceasefire to halt attacks on Ukrainian energy infrastructure, with Ukraine agreeing to halt its attacks on Russian energy infrastructure, both sides are guilty of breaking the terms of the deal. As for the other part of the deal—a maritime ceasefire to allow commercial shipping  to safely transit the Black Sea—the EU put the kibosh on the initiative by not lifting sanctions on "Russian banks involved in international trade in food and fertilizers,” or to reconnect Russia to the Swift payments system—"a network that facilitates secure financial messaging between banks.” (BBC) The ‘ceasefire’ deal is still in place but is “more honoured in the breach than the observance.” (Hamlet, I.iv) Genuine, lasting peace talks take time. The Korean armistice involved nearly two years of negotiations while the fighting continued. The 1975 Viet Nam peace treaty took years to craft a formula acceptable to the combatants. 

Point being that peace talks between Russia and Ukraine are far from over, all the while the fighting and dying continues with scuttlebutt around a major Russian offensive that may be in the offing. Hold onto your hats!

 



Tuesday, 1 April 2025

RANT: HERE COME THE THOUGHT POLICE!

 
Rumeysa being arrested in Boston by masked ICE agents
I THOUGHT IT MIGHT BE GOOD
in these increasingly tumultuous times to look at how freedom of expression, that fundamental right cherished by democracies everywhere, is being eroded in the West. A case in point: Last Wednesday, in Massachusetts, Rumeysa Ozturk, a 30-year-old Turkish doctoral student enrolled at Tufts University, was arrested by U.S. immigration officials and her student visa revoked. Her crime?  An op-ed she wrote—a year ago—in the student newspaper complaining the University should do more to “acknowledge the Palestinian genocide” and to divest any financial ties it may have with Israel. Wow! Thank goodness the wizz-kids at ICE (Immigration and Customs Enforcement) were on the ball in tracking down this dangerous terrorist! There’s no telling what’s in her backpack. School books? Highly unlikely.
 
“Rumeysa Ozturk was detained on Tuesday outside Boston, as she was walking to an Iftar meal to celebrate Ramadan[The Muslim holy month]. Video shows masked, plain-clothes officers handcuffing and leading her to an unmarked car. Tufts said in a statement that it had been told by officials that the student visa held by Ms Otzurk, who is a doctoral student, had been revoked.” (The Guardian)
 
 IN RECENT WEEKS at other universities in the U.S. similar stories of international students being arrested and detained for participating in student demonstrations in support of Palestine or else posting social media comments condemning Israel for its genocidal onslaught in Gaza. Earlier this month, there was the high-profile case of Columbia University student Mahmoud Khalil a “Green Card” holder who had his status as a "permanent resident" revoked. He was arrested and sent to a federal prison in Louisiana, 1300 miles from his pregnant American wife, pending deportation. He is accused of “supporting Hamas”, a designated terrorist organization, which is an absurd claim made against someone whose only 'crime' was helping to organize a pro-Palestinian demonstration at his university. His lawyers are challenging his deportation.
ANOTHER Columbia University student, twenty-one-year-old Korean-American Yunseo Chung, a permanent resident with a Green Card, who has lived in the United States since she was seven-years old, went into hiding as her lawyers launched a suit against the Department of Homeland Security challenging its claim that Ms. Chung broke the law when she was earlier arrested (though not charged) while attending a student protest at Barnard College  that was later deemed to be a ”pro-Hamas rally” by the DHS. They seek to deport her back to South Korea where she has not lived since she was a child.
OTHER INTERNATIONAL students at Cornell and Georgetown universities, and in other universities throughout the U.S., have also been targeted and arrested for pro-Palestinian statements they've made through social media or for participating in student protests on campus.

 
These arrests, detentions, and deportations have one thing in common: those individuals so charged were protesting against Israel’s actions against the Palestinian people of Gaza and the West Bank. They are critics of Israel’s government. And because of their principled stand, they are labelled as "antisemitic". In the Columbia University cases, the Trump administration has threatened to withhold four-hundred-million dollars in federal funding because, it claims, Columbia
failed to “protect Jewish students from antisemitic harassment”. (Aljazeera)
 
SO, crackdown is the word on U.S. campuses near and far as they round up and deport all those mouthy critics of Empire and its attack dog in the Middle East, Israel. Jewish lobby groups such as the ADL (Anti-defamation League) and AIPAC (American Israeli Public Affairs Committee) and wealthy Zionist donors (including Christian Zionists) carry and use the big stick of antisemitism to beat down critics of Israel. It is truly amazing how everybody seems to fall into lockstep behind Zionism’s twisted and racist logic.
THE THREAT of being labelled a hotbed of antisemitism forces more and more universities to sacrifice some of their most cherished principles—academic freedom and open debate in a respectful manner among equals. Recall last summer the House committee on "Education and the Workplace", when three Ivy League university presidents were forced to resign following their testimony before the committee in which they were deemed inadequate in combating antisemitism on their respective campuses.
Beyond censorship regimes at U.S. universities, individuals can run afoul of authorities for being adherents to the Muslim faith. Take the case of Browns University assistant professor and a doctor, Rasha Alawieh, 34, a Lebanese citizen in the U.S. on a work visa who was deported back to Lebanon just hours after returning from her homeland in early March. She had attended the large, public funeral in Beirut of Hassan Nasrallah, the Hezbollah leader who was also a spiritual leader of millions of Shia Muslims in the region. Alawieh states she attended the militia leader’s funeral because of his religious teaching not because she supported Hezbollah or favoured the mullah’s political views. She has also launched legal action to be allowed back into the U.S.*
 
Claims of antisemitism and “unsafe spaces” for Jews on university campuses are heard everywhere (in Canada, too), and, as mentioned, it’s not just universities that are the feared abattoirs of Jews. A second example of censorship comes, oddly enough, from the U.S. public health sector. Apparently, antisemitism is also a "health concern" as articulated by HHS (Health and Human Services) Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. in a recent X post:
 
“Anti-Semitism – like racism – is a spiritual and moral malady that sickens societies and kills people with lethalities comparable to history’s most deadly plagues. In recent years, the censorship and false narratives of woke cancel culture have transformed our great universities into greenhouses for this deadly and virulent pestilence. Making America healthy means building communities of trust and mutual respect, based on speech freedom and open debate.” (RFK Jr. X post)
 
LAST TIME I CHECKED HHS Secretary Kennedy was tasked with improving the health of Americans and combating waste and grift within the public health system, not calling for more censorship of those stricken with the disease of "wrong think". 

Why the hell is Kennedy talking about antisemitism? Is he beholding to rich, Zionist donors? Or is there kompromat on him? Gosh, I hope it has nothing to do with gerbils!
👉In the end, combating genuine instances of antisemitism, as well as Islamophobia, is something we all should approve. But, making false, reputation-damaging accusations of antisemitism, and weaponizing the legal system to go after anyone that does not toe the party line, does not make Israelis safer, surrounded, as they are, by angry neighbours and the smoldering resentment from indigenous Palestinians. And Jews outside of Israel are not safer, either, as publics, globally, see Israel committing genocide and ethnic cleansing in Gaza and the West Bank, and its military adventures and land seizures in the Levant.
 
Cheers, Jake.____________________________________
 
*
ANOTHER EXAMPLE comes from Austria where Richard Medhurst, a Syrian-born British citizen whose parents are recipients of the Nobel Peace Prize2, was arrested by Austrian police and has been charged with—get this—being a member of Hamas, not just supporting the militia group through his writings (he is an independent journalist and blogger, and is an ardent critic of Israeli atrocities in Gaza and elsewhere in the Levant), or that he violated new speech laws cropping up everywhere these days. They’re charging this young man with being an actual member of a designated terrorist organization. 😖 GMAFB! He is also being investigated in Britain, where he was detained and questioned by British police upon his arrival at Heathrow Airport in London in August of last year. What's happening to Richard is a blatant example of “lawfare”, when the courts are used to silence dissent against official government narratives. Julian Assange, the recently freed journalist and WikiLeaks’ publisher is a prime example of what can happen when the legal system is used to harass truth speakers by immiserating their lives with constant and specious legal wrangling.
THESE ARE DISGRACEFUL ABUSES of police powers used to silence critics of Israel, by calling those that speak out “antisemitic”—a moniker as dreadful as the yersinia pestis virus was in the Middle Ages. Richard’s is one such case, and while he has not been charged under hate speech laws per se, his outspoken (and correct) condemnation of Israeli atrocities in Gaza and elsewhere are surely the reason for the trumped-up charges against him. There are others--journalists and members of the public, and there will be more as time goes on. 👉Welcome to our brave new world. (Shhh! Mums-the-word!)
[Photo is of Richard outside Belmarsh Prison in London protesting the upcoming deportation of Julian Assange to the U.S. which was fortunately voided when Julian made a plea deal to gain his freedom in June, 2024. Ed.]
 
1. Fun Fact: Did you know that Israel’s borders have never been fully established in the nearly eighty years of its existence as a state? Now, why would that be?  Perhaps to make it easier to fudge the boundary line when you need to take more land, as Israel has recently done in advancing across the Golan Heights into Syria, following the fall of the Assad government last December. The land grab by IDF forces created a large buffer zone between Israel and Syria. And what about those boundaries between Israeli settler' lands and Palestinian lands in the West Bank? Property lines there are just penciled-in, it seems. So, is there fair and equitable treatment under the law to resolve legal disputes between the two groups arising from contested land claims? Don't make me laugh! What the settlers don't hoover-up using lawfare, they take by force.
👉ON A DIFFERENT NOTE, Syria has been touted as a possible landing pad for all those pesky Palestinians if Jordon and Egypt, Israel’s neighbours, raise too much of a stink about taking them. Just dump them in Syria, now that Israel has a robust buffer zone to keep them from filtering back to their (destroyed) homes in Gaza and the West Bank. We’ll see what happens. But, by Gumbies! That would solve the problem. Send several million Palestinians into the Syrian hinterland. Done and done. High Five! No more pics of children shot in the head by Israeli snipers or bombed tent encampments with shell-shocked Gazans mourning their dead. Instead, it's Israel in charge of the Levant. Offshore Palestinian natural gas piped into Europe. Trump towers in Rafah. And resorts, spas, and Gazan time-shares. What’s not to like?😂
 
2. They received the Nobel Peace Prize for their work as UN peacekeepers in 1988.
 
[One possible bumper sticker: “Israel: Land of Milk and Honey (and Genocide and Ethnic Cleansing). Have a Great Day!"💗]
 
 

 

QUOTES: JAMES HOWARD KUNSTLER

 
 
History is ever a trickster, and the zeitgeist is its consigliere.